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2024-12-14 02:57:38

China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.Guojin Securities: There is a certain room for the valuation of brokers to rise, focusing on two main lines. Guojin Securities said that looking forward to 2025, liquidity is expected to be further relaxed, market stability will be improved, and a solid market bottom will be built. The improvement of economic fundamentals will be confirmed, and the stock market is expected to go further, which will benefit the valuation and performance of brokerage sectors. Under the background of previous liquidity easing, the valuation of securities firms has expanded to above 1.9X, and the current valuation of securities firms is 1.6X, which has a certain room for growth on the whole. Pay attention to the main line of strong beta business and the main line of mergers and acquisitions.Twelve stocks were rated by brokers, and the target of walrus new materials increased by 88.1%. On December 10th, a total of 12 stocks were rated by brokers, and 3 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Walrus New Materials, Longjing Environmental Protection and Kangguan Science and Technology ranked in the top, with increases of 88.1%, 57.39% and 30.67% respectively. From the perspective of rating adjustment, the ratings of 4 stocks remain unchanged, and 8 stocks are rated for the first time. Judging from the Wind industry to which the buy-rated stocks belong, capital goods, food, beverages and tobacco, technical hardware and equipment have the largest number of buy-rated stocks, with 3, 3 and 2 respectively.


The first demonstration in China! Seiko Technology's high-performance PAN fiber technology has made key progress, and Seiko Technology's high-performance fiber precursor (polymerization process) "The first demonstration of safety and reliability of chemical process used in China" has successfully passed the evaluation of the expert group, which indicates that Seiko Technology's carbon fiber precursor preparation technology can be applied to industrialization on a large scale. On December 7th, Zhejiang Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association, entrusted by Zhejiang Emergency Management Department, organized and held the review meeting of "Demonstration of Safety and Reliability of Chemical Process Used for the First time in China" for high-performance PAN fiber in Hangzhou. Seiko Technology received a reply letter on December 10th.YTO Express invested 30 million yuan in Hengyang City to set up a new company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Hengyang YTO Express Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Sun Kai and the registered capital of 30 million yuan. Its business scope includes: general cargo warehousing services; Domestic freight forwarder; Storage equipment rental service. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by YTO Express.Yesterday, a total of 48 stock ETFs increased by over 100 million shares, the Southern CSI 1000ETF increased by 1.366 billion shares, and the Huaxia CSI A500ETF increased by 1.35 billion shares.


Trump nominated ron johnson as the US ambassador to Mexico.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 13.706 billion yuan. As of December 10, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 956.648 billion yuan, an increase of 5.195 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 909.757 billion yuan, an increase of 8.511 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,866.405 billion yuan, an increase of 13.706 billion yuan over the previous trading day.CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.

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